UFC London: Quick Recap, Notes, & Lookahead
Solid start for subs this weekend, as we finish the card 3-2 (60%) for +.55 units. Below are a few thoughts on each fight we were on and some spots I’m on early for next week that could move throughout the week.
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Win - Victoria Leonardo (+110 at Fanduel) to risk .5 units
This one went exactly how we drew it up, as both fighters took the conservative approach to this fight with Leonardo being the clear better fighter, dominating throughout. Strikes were in line, but Leonardo controlled 7 minutes vs. 55 seconds from Bohm.
Win - Jonathan Pearce (-190 at DraftKings) to win 1 unit
Pearce continues to impress with his fourth straight dominant performance since his debut loss to Joe Lauzon. This was a mismatch out of the gates, as Pearce landed 8x the strikes and controlled 4x the time.
Loss - Molly McCann by Points (-130 at Fanduel) to win 1 unit
Right side here, but Meatball’s striking was on another level in this fight and Goldy made a mistake in the amount of space she gave her to tee off. Should’ve adjusted a bit more for McCann’s desire to get this one over with early.
Win - Nikita Krylov to Win By KO, TKO, DQ/Submission (+130 at DraftKings Sportsbook) to risk 1 unit
Ring rust corrodes once again as Krylov gets a decisive early win over a legend in Gustafsson who looked lost from the opening bell here in his first fight in over 25 months. Krylov likely enters the top 10 following this performance.
Loss - Tom Aspinall by KO/TKO or Submission (+120 at FanDuel Sportsbook) to risk 1 unit
For the second week in a row, the main event was decided by a freak accident injury as Aspinall blew out his knee; so not much to say here. It’s a shame we didn’t get to see this one play out, but as the UK’s now former PM would say, “them the breaks.”
Quick Lookahead to UFC 277
Here’s what I think might move against us throughout the week and so I’m grabbing a piece of (risk .5 unit) now. Full card picks and write-ups coming Wednesday.
Anthony Smith +360
Rafael Alves +190
As a reminder, all tracked plays can be found here.
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